The 2026 Economic Outlook from INTRUST Wealth looks ahead at the coming year, as investors face a market defined by transition and resilience. Inflation has cooled, labor markets have eased without breaking, and the Federal Reserve is shifting from aggressive tightening to gradual rate cuts. While recession risks have increased compared to last year, most forecasts—including those from the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) and leading banks—point to continued, albeit slower, economic growth. The anticipated Fed rate cuts and a stable labor market provide a foundation for economic resilience, even as policy uncertainty and global shifts remain in focus.

As we begin 2026, INTRUST Wealth’s Quarterly Perspectives offer a concise look at the latest economic and financial trends shaping the year ahead.

As we enter the fourth quarter of 2025, our Quarterly Perspectives dive deeper into a variety of current topics, including the labor market, expectations of Federal fund rates, earnings growth, contributors to headline CPI inflation, and more.