In the INTRUST 2024 Economic Outlook, we evaluate the current economic environment and its implications for businesses and investors. Key themes shaping this year's outlook include rates, inflation, business and consumer strength, housing, labor, and more.

As we enter the fourth quarter of 2023, there are several trends we can use to provide some perspective on current events and help you plan. We take a look at considerations when relocating, keeping an eye on the future, and extending your planning horizon.

As we enter the third quarter of 2023, there are several trends we can use to provide some perspective on current events. We take a look at rate increases nearing an end, job market strength, inflation outlook, and how rebalancing helps tax-loss harvesting.

As we enter the second quarter of 2023, we take a look at historical trends to provide perspective on current events. Our first quarter perspectives looks at job growth beating expectations, inflation improvements and reasons for concern, market volatility, and consequences of trying to time the market.

2022 will be remembered as a year when inflation dominated the economic landscape for the first time in decades. Strong consumer demand stressed fragile supply-chains, and the Russian invasion of Ukraine severely impacted the global food and energy markets. Reactions from central banks, particularly in the U.S., have been historically swift, and as we move into 2023, inflation is slowly decreasing. The probability of a global recession in 2023 remains elevated as central banks manage the delicate balance of appropriate monetary policy. In the following pages, we evaluate the current economic environment and its implications for businesses and investors.

Entering the fourth quarter of 2022, there are several historical trends we can use to provide perspective on current events. Our third quarter perspectives look at contributors to headline inflation, yield-to-worst across fixed income sectors, international markets vs. U.S., and S&P 500 index average returns following midterm elections.