2022 Economic Outlook

12/22/2021
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2022 Economic Outlook

12/22/2021
Global economic growth over the past two years largely has been affected by the mandated shutdowns and fiscal stimulus in response to the COVID-19 pandemic. As the U.S. economy continues to recover in 2022, it faces headwinds of labor shortages, supply chain disruptions, and higher inflation. We evaluate the current economic environment and its implications for businesses and investors.

Quarterly Perspectives - Third Quarter 2021

10/08/2021
In our INTRUST 2021 Economic Outlook, we identified three scenarios on the speed of the U.S. economic recovery, noting that if our most optimistic scenario unfolded, unanticipated increases in inflation could emerge. Through the third quarter of this year, the U.S. has indeed experienced elevated levels of inflation, primarily caused by disruptions in the global supply change and labor shortages.

2021 Midyear Outlook

07/12/2021
At midyear, the economy is poised to surpass pre-pandemic levels. The stock market has shown amazing resiliency, while fixed income returns remain muted. What might be next for the economy and markets? This midyear outlook attempts to answer this question by reexamining the economic conditions both nationally and locally and assessing the current market environment.

Quarterly Perspectives - First Quarter 2021

04/13/2021
In the INTRUST 2021 Economic Outlook, our view of the economic recovery occurring throughout 2021 is based on several factors, not the least of which is the mitigation of the negative impacts of COVID-19. As the economy improves, the likelihood of inflation and rising interest rates will play an important role in market performance.

2021 Economic Outlook

01/12/2021
Economic conditions at the start of a new decade changed significantly as the pandemic impacted economies across the globe.

Quarterly Perspectives — Third Quarter 2020

10/09/2020
As discussed in our Midyear Outlook, our baseline scenario of a sharp rebound in economic activity followed by a long climb to full recovery appears to be playing out.