Quarterly Perspectives - Second Quarter 2022

U.S. recessions tend to be short-lived and markets rebound quickly

Many economists believe the U.S. economy is nearing a recession. History has shown that recessions tend to be short-lived and have very little correlation to equity market downturns. Further, markets generally rebound quickly following a recession.

Duration of Recession Periods

Consumer confidence: indicator of future performance?

Below-average consumer confidence historically points to strong subsequent equity market performance.

Consumer Sentiment Index and subsequent S&P 500 returns

Stocks and bonds have performed well in period of moderate inflation

Average annual returns at different inflation rates

Markets historically perform well following midterm elections

S&P 500 Index price one year after midterm election

The INTRUST Quarterly Perspectives are the consensus of the INTRUST Investment Strategy team and are based on third-party sources believed to be reliable. INTRUST has relied upon and assumed, without independent verification, the accuracy and completeness of this third-party information.

INTRUST makes no warranties with regard to the information or results obtained by its use and disclaims any and all liability arising out of the use of, or reliance on, the information.

The information presented has been prepared for informational purposes only. It should not be relied upon as a recommendation to buy or sell securities or to participate in any investment strategy. The Quarterly Perspectives are not intended to, and should not, form a primary basis for any investment decisions. This information should not be construed as investment, legal, tax or accounting advice. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

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